Fortuna Camargo vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
28.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+186%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MFC
2 - 0
FOC
62%
20%
19%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
FOC
0 - 2
VIL
63%
19%
18%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RGA
3 - 3
FOC
57%
21%
22%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FOC
3 - 0
VLE
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
FOC
5 - 5
VEA
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RSC
4 - 1
OFC
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BUE
3 - 1
RSC
71%
17%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
RSC
0 - 2
SJU
36%
23%
40%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
NMB
1 - 0
RSC
49%
23%
29%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
RSC
0 - 4
PRE
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |