Fortuna Camargo vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+291%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Camargo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
TCD
2 - 2
FOC
10%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
FOC
2 - 1
TES
64%
17%
19%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ISD
1 - 2
FOC
18%
20%
62%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FOC
4 - 1
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
NMB
3 - 4
FOC
13%
18%
70%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CAS
2 - 1
LIE
53%
19%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
SMA
0 - 2
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
OFC
4 - 1
CAS
31%
22%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
JDM
6 - 0
CAS
38%
22%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CAS
4 - 0
TCD
73%
15%
13%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |