Fortuna Brazi vs Zagon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Brazi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
UNI
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SCM
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
4 - 1
AVA
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 3
FOR
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 1
FCM
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Zagon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
ZAG
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 1
SCM
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
ALB
0 - 3
ZAG
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
ZAG
1 - 0
CIV
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
CON
0 - 0
ZAG
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |