Bangladesh Premier League Round 1

Fortis FC vs Mohammedan Dhaka analysis

Fortis FC Mohammedan Dhaka
18 ELO 32
-9.9% Tilt -3.6%
10216º General ELO ranking 9330º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
18.7%
Fortis FC
20.7%
Draw
60.6%
Mohammedan Dhaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
Fortis FC
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
60.6%
Win probability
Mohammedan Dhaka
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortis FC
+12%
+31%
Mohammedan Dhaka

Points and table prediction

Fortis FC
Their league position
Mohammedan Dhaka
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
35
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bashundhara Kings
45
45
100%
Mohammedan Dhaka
35
35
100%
Abahani
32
32
100%
Bangladesh Police
26
26
100%
Fortis FC
24
24
100%
Sheikh Russel
19
19
0%
Chittagong Abahani
19
19
0%
Sheikh Jamal
17
17
100%
Rahmatgonj
16
16
100%
Brothers Union
10º
7
7
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fortis FC
Mohammedan Dhaka
AFC Champions League Elite qualifying phase
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fortis FC
Mohammedan Dhaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortis FC
Fortis FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jul. 2023
SHJ
Sheikh Jamal
0 - 3
Fortis FC
FOR
80%
13%
8%
17 25 8 0
14 Jul. 2023
FOR
Fortis FC
0 - 1
Mohammedan Dhaka
MDH
12%
18%
70%
18 32 14 -1
07 Jul. 2023
SHR
Sheikh Russel
2 - 0
Fortis FC
FOR
77%
14%
9%
18 27 9 0
03 Jun. 2023
FOR
Fortis FC
1 - 1
Chittagong Abahani
ACH
19%
20%
61%
17 25 8 +1
27 May. 2023
BPF
Bangladesh Police
4 - 2
Fortis FC
FOR
75%
15%
10%
18 26 8 -1

Matches

Mohammedan Dhaka
Mohammedan Dhaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jul. 2023
MDH
Mohammedan Dhaka
3 - 1
Rahmatgonj
RAH
73%
16%
11%
32 22 10 0
14 Jul. 2023
FOR
Fortis FC
0 - 1
Mohammedan Dhaka
MDH
12%
18%
70%
32 18 14 0
07 Jul. 2023
MDH
Mohammedan Dhaka
6 - 0
AFC Uttara
UTT
89%
8%
3%
31 10 21 +1
02 Jun. 2023
BAS
Bashundhara Kings
2 - 1
Mohammedan Dhaka
MDH
56%
21%
23%
32 32 0 -1
30 May. 2023
MDH
Mohammedan Dhaka
4 - 4
Abahani
ABA
40%
25%
36%
32 32 0 0