Fortaleza vs Real Santander analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2015 |
PAT
1 - 2
FOR
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
4 - 1
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
RSC
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
FOR
37%
29%
34%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
REA
2 - 1
ALI
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
RSC
3 - 3
REA
56%
25%
20%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
REA
0 - 5
AME
26%
28%
46%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BUC
1 - 1
REA
64%
22%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BOG
1 - 1
REA
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |