Fortaleza vs Deportivo Rionegro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
AME
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
JAG
42%
28%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
REA
0 - 1
FOR
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Rionegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
LLA
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
PER
2 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2013 |
RIO
2 - 1
RSC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
CAR
5 - 1
RIO
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
RIO
0 - 1
BUC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |