Fortaleza vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
RIO
0 - 0
FOR
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
BOG
2 - 0
FOR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 1
PAT
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BAR
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAB
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
AFC
2 - 1
BOG
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
PAT
1 - 0
AFC
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
AFC
0 - 0
BAR
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
AFC
2 - 1
SAB
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
AFC
1 - 0
ALI
57%
25%
18%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |