Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
AME
3 - 0
FOR
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 1
COR
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
PER
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 2
FOR
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 2
TFC
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 0
LLA
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
PER
2 - 2
BAR
81%
14%
5%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
22%
24%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
0 - 2
RSC
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 2
UNI
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |