Fortaleza EC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
FOR
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAL
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 1
FOR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
LUV
2 - 0
FOR
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 0
ICA
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CUI
0 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
PAY
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
TRE
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |