Fortaleza EC vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
SAO
83%
12%
5%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
FOR
17%
23%
60%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAC
65%
20%
14%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ICA
1 - 0
QUI
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
2 - 0
SAO
68%
18%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
FOR
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 0
FER
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 0
QUI
66%
19%
14%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |