Fortaleza EC vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
4.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
3 - 1
QUI
87%
10%
4%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
UNI
2 - 2
FOR
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 48 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
LIM
3 - 3
FOR
11%
19%
71%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 0
ICA
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CEA
3 - 6
FOR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 2
CEA
18%
22%
60%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 1
FER
32%
24%
44%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 0
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
FER
4 - 1
ITA
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITA
56%
21%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |