Fortaleza EC vs Grêmio Barueri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 1
FOR
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 2
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
CRB
0 - 3
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 3
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Barueri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
GRÊ
0 - 1
VIL
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
GRÊ
3 - 2
ABC
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 2
GRÊ
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
GRÊ
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2008 |
GRÊ
4 - 3
CEA
55%
23%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |