Fortaleza EC vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARN
0 - 0
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
4 - 2
SAL
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
41%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 0
CUI
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
FOR
30%
27%
43%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
ICA
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
BOT
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
CON
4 - 1
CUI
30%
29%
41%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
CON
67%
21%
13%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |