Cearense 1 . Final
Global 4-0
Fortaleza EC vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
11.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
14.4%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
8.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
83 | 40 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
VIT
73%
18%
9%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SCI
2 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
CUI
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
FOR
8%
18%
74%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 1
CAU
31%
23%
46%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
CAU
2 - 0
IGU
44%
23%
33%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAU
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 0
IGU
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |