Fortaleza EC vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
REM
2 - 0
FOR
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
AMF
1 - 0
FOR
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 1
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 1
FOR
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
ABC
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
3 - 0
CEA
28%
24%
48%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 0
ASA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
BOT
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
BOT
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
RIV
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |