Forres Mechanics vs Wick Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
26.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
9º
13º
10º
0
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
3 | 78 |
1º
|
37% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 75 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 75 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 74 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 70 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 61 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
1º
|
3 | 57 |
7º
|
27.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 55 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 48 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
1 | 42 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 40 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 39 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
3 | 36 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
0 | 35 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 26 |
15º
|
19.5% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 20 |
16º
|
28% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 17 |
17º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 16 |
18º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 1
HUN
34%
24%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 0
ICT
9%
16%
75%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 1
BAN
12%
20%
68%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOR
4 - 1
KEI
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 3
FOR
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Wick Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
DEV
3 - 2
WIC
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
INV
2 - 1
WIC
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
STR
2 - 3
WIC
14%
17%
70%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
WIC
4 - 2
NAI
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
KEI
0 - 1
WIC
35%
22%
43%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |