Forres Mechanics vs Inverurie Loco Works analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
63.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DEV
1 - 1
FOR
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 2
FOR
39%
22%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRE
20%
22%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 3
NAI
36%
23%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
LOS
0 - 0
FOR
15%
18%
68%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Inverurie Loco Works
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
INV
1 - 5
BUC
31%
23%
46%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
INV
3 - 2
NAI
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 2
INV
7%
13%
80%
|
48 | 16 | 32 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 1
INV
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
INV
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |