Formentera vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+118%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formentera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 3
FOR
25%
21%
54%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 2
RED
83%
11%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 1
FOR
16%
19%
65%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BIG
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 4
FOR
11%
15%
74%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ITC
0 - 3
RAC
29%
21%
50%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
BEN
34%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 1
MON
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDC
5 - 2
RAC
83%
13%
5%
|
10 | 21 | 11 | 0 |