Serie D Ronda Campeonato round 1

Forli vs Sambenedettese analysis

Forli Sambenedettese
65 ELO 64
5.1% Tilt -4.5%
2824º General ELO ranking 2622º
95º Country ELO ranking 87º
ELO win probability
43.4%
Forli
25.7%
Draw
30.9%
Sambenedettese

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
Forli
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.9%
Win probability
Sambenedettese
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Forli
+53%
+6%
Sambenedettese

Points and table prediction

Forli
Their league position
Sambenedettese
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
0
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Siracusa
6
6
100%
AS Bra
6
6
100%
Livorno
6
6
100%
Forli
3
3
0%
Ospitaletto
3
3
100%
Virtus Casarano
3
3
0%
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0
0
0%
Guidonia
0
0
100%
Sambenedettese
0
0
0%
Expected probabilities
Forli
Sambenedettese
Next round
0% 0%
Possible next round
0% 0%
Eliminated
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Forli
Sambenedettese
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Forli
Forli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
FOR
Forli
2 - 4
Imolese
IMO
74%
18%
8%
65 50 15 0
27 Apr. 2025
SAN
San Marino Calcio
0 - 3
Forli
FOR
29%
26%
44%
64 48 16 +1
17 Apr. 2025
FOR
Forli
1 - 0
Pistoiese
PIS
69%
20%
11%
63 52 11 +1
13 Apr. 2025
PIA
Piacenza
1 - 2
Forli
FOR
27%
27%
46%
63 56 7 0
06 Apr. 2025
FOR
Forli
3 - 1
Tuttocuoio
TUT
81%
14%
5%
63 38 25 0

Matches

Sambenedettese
Sambenedettese
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
SSS
Sambenedettese
1 - 2
Civitanovese
CIV
55%
25%
20%
65 47 18 0
27 Apr. 2025
FER
Fermana
0 - 2
Sambenedettese
SSS
13%
23%
64%
64 49 15 +1
17 Apr. 2025
SSS
Sambenedettese
0 - 1
Termoli Calcio
TER
66%
22%
12%
64 49 15 0
13 Apr. 2025
TER
Teramo
1 - 2
Sambenedettese
SSS
31%
27%
42%
64 59 5 0
06 Apr. 2025
SSS
Sambenedettese
0 - 0
Sora
SOR
57%
26%
18%
64 49 15 0