Forli vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
COR
1 - 1
FOR
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
CRE
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
MAN
10%
19%
71%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MEZ
3 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
31%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASD
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
USD
1 - 1
PRO
68%
17%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
0 - 1
LEN
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 1
PRO
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAL
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +1 |