Forli vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
71%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GIU
2 - 2
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
ASD
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ISE
1 - 1
FOR
30%
26%
44%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
FOR
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 2
CAM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
CES
3 - 0
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 30 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
CES
11%
21%
68%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 2
CES
8%
20%
72%
|
66 | 28 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CES
1 - 1
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
66 | 34 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 2
CES
7%
20%
72%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |