Forge vs Valour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
HFX
0 - 3
FOR
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
TOR
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
EDM
3 - 4
FOR
20%
26%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 3
VAL
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 4
CAV
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 1
EDM
57%
24%
18%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 1
ATO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
PAC
2 - 2
VAL
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |