Forfar Athletic vs Stenhousemuir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
34.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
NAI
2 - 3
FOR
24%
23%
53%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 3
NAI
77%
14%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
STR
4 - 1
FOR
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
EAS
3 - 0
FOR
45%
25%
31%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 3
ALL
52%
23%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
BER
2 - 5
STE
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
AYR
53%
23%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
STE
1 - 1
BER
71%
17%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BRE
7 - 2
STE
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
QOS
2 - 2
STE
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |