Forest Green Rovers vs Carlisle United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
FOR
25%
26%
50%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 0
EXE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
STE
70%
20%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
OLD
5 - 5
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
CUM
0 - 0
HAR
31%
26%
43%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
CUM
1 - 1
CRA
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
CUM
2 - 0
BRA
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2022 |
TOW
1 - 0
CUM
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2022 |
SCU
0 - 1
CUM
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |