Forchtenstein vs Purbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forchtenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 3
JEN
34%
23%
44%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
STI
0 - 3
FOR
45%
23%
33%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
PAR
2 - 0
FOR
70%
17%
13%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
FOR
3 - 2
KLI
41%
24%
35%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 0
FOR
60%
21%
20%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Purbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2014 |
PUR
2 - 0
STM
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
NEU
2 - 1
PUR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
PUR
3 - 3
DRA
51%
22%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
PUR
4 - 0
STI
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
JEN
1 - 1
PUR
51%
23%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |