Fontenay vs Luçon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
VCH
0 - 1
FON
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FON
2 - 2
PLA
20%
26%
54%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
FON
56%
23%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 3
AVR
23%
27%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
FON
0 - 1
SAU
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luçon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
0 - 7
ROM
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
AVR
45%
28%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 1
LUC
19%
24%
58%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
LOR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAC
0 - 4
LUC
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |