National 3 Pays de la Loire Jor. 21

Fontenay vs La Roche-sur-Yon analysis

Fontenay La Roche-sur-Yon
33 ELO 39
-12.6% Tilt -18.9%
6797º General ELO ranking 45927º
152º Country ELO ranking 1025º
ELO win probability
30.5%
Fontenay
22.4%
Draw
47.1%
La Roche-sur-Yon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
Fontenay
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.1%
Win probability
La Roche-sur-Yon
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fontenay
+20%
-16%
La Roche-sur-Yon

Points and table prediction

Fontenay
Their league position
La Roche-sur-Yon
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
28
10º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
La Roche VF
48
51
100%
USSA Vertou
46
49
91.5%
Challans
44
47
91.5%
Sablé
42
42
100%
Stade Lavallois II
38
41
100%
Saint-Nazaire AF
37
40
57.5%
36
39
56.5%
Fontenay
37
37
70.5%
Le Mans II
30
30
79.5%
La Roche-sur-Yon
10º
28
28
10º
0%
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
11º
28
28
11º
13%
Beaucouzé
12º
27
27
12º
62.5%
Pouzauges-Réaumur
13º
19
22
13º
75.5%
Change
14º
16
16
14º
75.5%
Expected probabilities
Fontenay
La Roche-sur-Yon
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Fontenay
La Roche-sur-Yon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fontenay
Fontenay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
ESO
La Roche-sur-Yon
1 - 1
Fontenay
FON
67%
18%
15%
34 38 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
FON
Fontenay
0 - 1
Stade Lavallois II
LAV
51%
24%
25%
34 32 2 0
04 Mar. 2023
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
34%
24%
42%
34 28 6 0
25 Feb. 2023
FON
Fontenay
1 - 0
Change
CHA
74%
16%
10%
34 20 14 0
11 Feb. 2023
SCB
Beaucouzé
0 - 0
Fontenay
FON
25%
22%
53%
35 24 11 -1

Matches

La Roche-sur-Yon
La Roche-sur-Yon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
ESO
La Roche-sur-Yon
1 - 1
Fontenay
FON
67%
18%
15%
38 34 4 0
18 Mar. 2023
SNA
Saint-Nazaire AF
1 - 1
La Roche-sur-Yon
ESO
20%
21%
59%
39 29 10 -1
04 Mar. 2023
ESO
La Roche-sur-Yon
5 - 0
Beaucouzé
SCB
75%
14%
10%
38 26 12 +1
25 Feb. 2023
CHA
Challans
1 - 0
La Roche-sur-Yon
ESO
28%
22%
50%
39 33 6 -1
11 Feb. 2023
ESO
La Roche-sur-Yon
1 - 0
USSA Vertou
USS
62%
21%
17%
39 35 4 0
X