Fontenay vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.6%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+266%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
9º
4º
30
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
FON
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
USS
1 - 1
FON
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 0
FON
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 13 | 32 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
FON
43%
27%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
10%
18%
72%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 0
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPG
20%
21%
59%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LPS
2 - 0
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |