Fondi vs Virtus Francavilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
17.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
USF
2 - 3
FON
73%
18%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
FON
1 - 2
FIA
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MES
1 - 1
FON
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FON
3 - 1
PAG
61%
21%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
FON
65%
22%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
JUS
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FIA
1 - 1
FRA
56%
25%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAT
25%
28%
47%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 3
FRA
43%
28%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |