Follo vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2013 |
BOG
3 - 0
FOL
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
FOL
2 - 1
BAR
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
FOL
0 - 1
KRI
38%
25%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
DRO
2 - 3
FOL
27%
22%
51%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
MJO
4 - 1
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
STB
2 - 2
BRY
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2013 |
KJE
3 - 4
STB
16%
19%
65%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
HOD
1 - 0
STB
40%
24%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
KON
2 - 2
STB
33%
26%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
ORN
0 - 5
STB
12%
18%
71%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |