Follo vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 2
FOL
66%
19%
14%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 3
ELP
18%
23%
58%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 1
FOL
47%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 2
POR
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
KON
2 - 0
FOL
51%
25%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MOS
7 - 3
HON
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
HOD
2 - 1
MOS
37%
26%
38%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MOS
1 - 1
LOV
61%
21%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 0
MOS
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
HAU
0 - 4
MOS
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |