Follo vs Mjølner analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
4º
1º
38
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 3 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
OPP
0 - 2
FOL
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 2
FOL
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BSN
4 - 0
FOL
14%
18%
68%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FOL
3 - 2
POR
39%
24%
37%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FFK
1 - 2
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mjølner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
MJO
5 - 1
TRO
44%
22%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
FLO
0 - 2
MJO
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MJO
4 - 2
BOS
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SIK
3 - 1
MJO
18%
19%
63%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MJO
5 - 1
LIL
61%
20%
19%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |