Follo vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
53.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
KFU
0 - 0
FOL
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
SKE
1 - 2
FOL
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 5
RAU
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
HAM
3 - 0
FOL
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 1
KJE
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
SKE
58%
21%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
RAU
1 - 1
BAR
43%
23%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 3
HAM
45%
24%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
KJE
2 - 1
BAR
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 0
GRO
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |