Foligno Calcio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
FOL
16%
23%
61%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 0
PIA
57%
24%
19%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SIE
2 - 0
FOL
82%
14%
4%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 3
FOL
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
FOL
3 - 2
MPO
52%
26%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
0 - 0
VFC
28%
24%
48%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 0
BAS
64%
19%
16%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 1
SAN
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
BAS
1 - 2
SAN
26%
24%
51%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
MAS
2 - 1
BAS
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |