Folgore vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
0 - 0
SGI
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
DOM
0 - 1
FOL
37%
25%
38%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
2 - 1
JUV
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 0
TPE
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 3
TFI
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 3
COS
30%
22%
48%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PEN
3 - 2
TPE
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 72 | 19 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
2 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | +2 |