Folgore vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
0 - 1
TPE
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
PYU
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
PYU
2 - 1
FOL
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
JUV
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 2
DOM
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FAE
1 - 5
MUR
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
5 - 0
MUR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
TPE
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |