Folgore vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIR
23%
24%
53%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
CAI
1 - 3
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
3 - 0
FOL
67%
20%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SGI
2 - 0
FOL
33%
25%
43%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TFI
0 - 2
LIB
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
3 - 0
FOL
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 2
PEN
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
DOM
1 - 3
LIB
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |