Folgore vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
VIR
58%
24%
17%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
18%
25%
58%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FOL
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
COS
1 - 3
TPE
7%
15%
78%
|
32 | 67 | 35 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MUR
3 - 0
COS
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
COS
0 - 3
FIO
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FIO
2 - 0
COS
86%
11%
3%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |