Folgore Caratese vs Virtus Bergamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
SER
3 - 2
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
2 - 2
CAR
53%
25%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
0 - 2
FOL
53%
26%
21%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
MAP
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PON
2 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Bergamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
VBE
65%
18%
16%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
2 - 2
GRU
24%
22%
55%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
VBE
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
VBE
1 - 2
CAR
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 2
VBE
48%
24%
29%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |