Folgore Caratese vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+172%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
BOR
0 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 2
SES
50%
24%
27%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
NOV
45%
26%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ALB
0 - 1
FOL
57%
24%
19%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 1
RAB
42%
25%
34%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 1
LAV
51%
25%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 0
SAN
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
LAV
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LAV
2 - 1
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |