Fola Esch vs US Mondorf les Bains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
10.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
KAE
0 - 4
FOL
23%
25%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 0
ABE
40%
25%
36%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ABE
3 - 1
FOL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 2
DIF
45%
24%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 2
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
USM
0 - 0
RUM
61%
22%
17%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
F91
1 - 0
USM
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
RUM
0 - 2
USM
38%
28%
35%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
USM
0 - 0
F91
25%
25%
50%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ETZ
2 - 1
USM
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |