FNQ Heat vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.3%
15.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FNQ Heat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 2
FNQ
6%
14%
81%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SYD
7 - 2
FNQ
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
FNQ
0 - 3
BRI
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
RED
2 - 1
FNQ
32%
23%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
FNQ
0 - 3
WES
57%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SWQ
1 - 2
MOR
18%
19%
63%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WES
8 - 1
SWQ
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SWQ
0 - 0
OLY
14%
15%
70%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SWQ
0 - 1
RED
50%
20%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
SWQ
1 - 0
BRI
8%
13%
79%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +3 |