Liga Brasileña Sub 20 Normal Season Round 1

Fluminense U20 vs Botafogo U20 analysis

Fluminense U20 Botafogo U20
44 ELO 46
-11.8% Tilt -1.4%
6049º General ELO ranking 6320º
229º Country ELO ranking 243º
ELO win probability
39.7%
Fluminense U20
25.9%
Draw
34.4%
Botafogo U20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
Fluminense U20
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
Botafogo U20
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense U20
-19%
-4%
Botafogo U20

Points and table prediction

Fluminense U20
Their league position
Botafogo U20
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
17º
14º
10
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Flamengo U20
18
19
100%
Corinthians U20
17
18
100%
Santos U20
15
18
56.5%
Grêmio U20
14
17
27.5%
Athlético PR U20
17
17
44.5%
Palmeiras U20
16
16
64.5%
Internacional U20
13
16
41.5%
Bahia U20
14
14
15%
Cruzeiro U20
14
14
20%
América Mineiro U20
10º
12
13
10º
75.5%
Atlético Mineiro U20
11º
12
13
11º
75.5%
Cuiabá U20
13º
11
12
12º
0%
Fortaleza U20
12º
12
12
13º
4%
Fluminense U20
14º
10
11
14º
91.5%
Botafogo U20
15º
10
11
15º
91.5%
Ceará U20
16º
9
9
16º
91.5%
São Paulo U20
17º
8
8
17º
0%
Goiás U20
18º
8
8
18º
0%
Atlético GO U20
19º
2
2
19º
0%
RB Bragantino U20
20º
1
2
20º
0%
Expected probabilities
Fluminense U20
Botafogo U20
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Fluminense U20
Botafogo U20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense U20
Fluminense U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2023
GOI
Goiás U20
2 - 1
Fluminense U20
FLU
27%
22%
51%
45 39 6 0
12 Jan. 2023
FLU
Fluminense U20
0 - 0
Atl. Guaratinguetá U20
ACG
75%
16%
9%
45 12 33 0
09 Jan. 2023
TAU
Taubaté U20
0 - 2
Fluminense U20
FLU
2%
11%
86%
45 7 38 0
06 Jan. 2023
IMP
Imperatriz U20
0 - 6
Fluminense U20
FLU
8%
14%
78%
45 10 35 0
03 Jan. 2023
FLU
Fluminense U20
1 - 0
Porto Vitória U20
PVI
77%
15%
8%
45 9 36 0

Matches

Botafogo U20
Botafogo U20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jan. 2023
BOT
Botafogo U20
0 - 1
RB Bragantino U20
BRA
50%
22%
27%
46 42 4 0
13 Jan. 2023
BOT
Botafogo U20
2 - 0
Lemense U20
LEM
79%
14%
8%
46 9 37 0
09 Jan. 2023
GSC
Grêmio São-Carlense U20
1 - 3
Botafogo U20
BOT
3%
12%
85%
46 7 39 0
06 Jan. 2023
SAO
São Carlos U20
0 - 1
Botafogo U20
BOT
9%
14%
77%
46 9 37 0
03 Jan. 2023
BOT
Botafogo U20
4 - 0
Pinheirense U20
PIN
78%
14%
8%
46 9 37 0