Fluminense vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
BAH
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
47%
25%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
GOI
2 - 2
FLU
24%
26%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
FLU
29%
26%
46%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 1
BRA
63%
21%
17%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
CAN
0 - 2
SPC
7%
18%
76%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 0
SPC
20%
23%
57%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
SPC
37%
23%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SPC
4 - 2
CIE
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
HUA
1 - 2
SPC
26%
24%
50%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |