Fluminense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
FLU
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FLU
2 - 0
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 2
VIT
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 1
FLU
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2014 |
TUP
0 - 3
FLU
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
FLA
0 - 2
SAO
49%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 1
COR
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2014 |
SAO
3 - 0
CRB
77%
16%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SAO
2 - 2
COT
55%
25%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAO
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |