Fluminense vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 1
FLU
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
SAO
6 - 0
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
GAM
1 - 2
FLU
32%
24%
44%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 1
CRZ
35%
26%
39%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
SCI
1 - 2
PAR
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 2
GUA
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
COR
2 - 1
PAR
64%
20%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2002 |
ATM
4 - 1
PAR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |