Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 2
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 1
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ATM
5 - 2
FLU
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 2
FLA
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 2
ATM
59%
22%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
34%
25%
41%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
LDA
0 - 6
PAL
21%
24%
54%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
PAL
2 - 0
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2018 |
PAL
1 - 1
FLA
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |