Fluminense vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
COT
3 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 1
FLA
52%
24%
24%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
FLU
3 - 1
ATP
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
AVA
0 - 1
FLU
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
FLU
0 - 1
BAH
74%
18%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2011 |
PAL
0 - 0
FLA
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 0
SAN
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
AMF
1 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
49%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 0
ATL
60%
23%
17%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
CEA
2 - 0
PAL
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |