Fluminense vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
FLU
1 - 1
AME
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1973 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1973 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATM
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FLU
2 - 1
FLA
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
DES
1 - 0
ITA
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |