Fluminense vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
FLU
0 - 2
SCI
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1975 |
FLU
4 - 2
PAL
46%
28%
26%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
AME
1 - 0
FLU
51%
27%
22%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1975 |
GUA
1 - 2
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
FLU
2 - 0
BOT
55%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1976 |
FLU
0 - 0
CSA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1975 |
BAH
3 - 0
CSA
61%
25%
14%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
AME
2 - 1
CSA
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
DES
1 - 0
CSA
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
CSA
1 - 1
CEB
35%
29%
36%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |